Aphorisms


There's nothing so bad, that adding government can't make it worse. -- The Immigrant

Government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem. -- Ronald Reagan

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Read the next two together:

Every collectivist revolution rides in on a Trojan horse of 'Emergency'." -- Herbert Hoover

This is too good a crisis to waste. -- Rahm Emanuel

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Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. -- Fredric Bastiat, French Economist (30 June 1801 – 24 December 1850)

In general, the art of government consists of taking as much money as possible from one party of the citizens to give to another. -- François-Marie Arouet, a.k.a. Voltaire, (21 November 1694 – 30 May 1778)

The problem with socialism is that, sooner or later, you run out of other people's money. -- Margaret Thatcher

The inherent vice of capitalism is the unequal sharing of blessings; the inherent virtue of socialism is the equal sharing of miseries. -- Winston Churchill

Friday, September 17, 2021

 #111: Post Mortem

November 8, 2012

“Post mortem?” you ask. America is not dead, why “post mortem”? Quite right, it’s not dead; but it may have begun the process of dying. We may be witnessing the dying of history’s most noble experiment, an experiment which was possibly doomed to failure by its own high-minded ambitions. High minded ambitions fueled all of its progressive innovations and all of those innovations may have made its survival impossible.

The single most important intrinsic error was universal suffrage. When combined with the transformation of charity into entitlement, the stage was set for the election catastrophe that just occurred.  Once the recipients of other people’s money grow large enough in number, if they can vote, they destroy the host on which they feed. Needless to say, populist parties exploit this weakness every which way they can. Notably, Johnson’s “war on poverty,” once again a high-minded project, worked as an incentive on underclass breeding, encouraging the creation of welfare-dollar baby factories. Again, the anchor-baby mis-interpretation (see http://superiorpolitics.forumotion.com/t2128-original-intent-of-the-14th-amendment for a discussion) is an effort to increase the dependent population in the U.S. for political purposes. Yet again, the effort to give amnesty to illegal immigrants in the U.S. serves the same purpose. In the words of Tom Lehrer’s “Old Drug Peddler,” the Democrats seek to “do well by doing good.”

Numerous people have made contributions to the election autopsy, everyone has an opinion of the C.O.D. (“cause of death”), everyone in the media is a political coroner. Two such autopsy reports especially have caught my attention, one by Christopher Ruddy (http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/why-romney-lost-obama/2012/11/07/id/463241) and one by Dick Morris (http://www.dickmorris.com/why-i-was-wrong/).

Both of these are well written and well argued. Ruddy puts the blame on the Romney campaign, citing 7 allegedly huge mistakes. Morris cites the changed American demographics. Both Ruddy and Morris agree that the Republicans were damaged by unanticipated forces and events, namely two hurricanes (one during their convention and one just before the election) and a double betrayal by Chris Christie. Christie was keynote speaker at the Republican convention, where he spent his entire speech building himself up and where he hardly mentioned Romney at all. His famous walk-on-beach with Obama was so totally a betrayal that it hardly warrants an argument.

Christie’s behavior is without doubt the most barefaced enormous political stab-in-the-back I have ever seen. I anticipate his time within the Republican Party to will be brief and it would not surprise me to see him vie for the Democratic Party presidential candidacy in 2016. As far as I can tell, Hilarity Clinton is toast as far as that is concerned, but I would be surprised if Christie turns out to be able to capitalize on his treachery. Judas did not do well and neither did Benedict Arnold or Quisling.

While Ruddy’s argument is plausible, it is not supported by data, it is almost entirely “opinion,” so I’m more sympathetic to Morris’s thesis.

Here is the gist of Morris’s thesis:

“By the time you finish with the various demographic groups the Democrats win, you almost have a majority in their corner. Count them: Blacks cast 13% of the vote and Obama won them 12-1. Latinos cast 10% and Obama carried them by 7-3. Under 30 voters cast 19% of the vote and Obama swept them by 12-7. Single white women cast 18% of the total vote and Obama won them by 12-6. There is some overlap among these groups, of course, but without allowing for any, Obama won 43-17 before the first married white woman or man over 30 cast their vote. (Lets guess that if we eliminate duplication, the Obama margin would be 35-13) Having conceded these votes, Romney would have had to win over two-thirds of the rest of the vote to win. He almost did. But not quite.”

 I think he’s on the right track, but the news is probably both worse and better than he sees it.

The news is worse because he fails to include other demographic groups, most notably government workers, both unionized and not. This is an enormous number of additional votes. In addition to this, there are all the non-government “human service” industries whose practitioners and employers are, in effect, parasites on the parasites. We should not forget the elderly influenced by the pro-Obama AARP, nor the vast cadre of personal injury lawyers who are concerned to stop any reforms. Add to that the ideologically addled Jews, and you have what would appear to create an overwhelming majority for Obama within the U.S.A.

But the news is also better. Knowing what we know of the special interest groups arrayed in coalition for Obama, we should expect a massive defeat for Romney and the Republicans. But this did not happen! The fact that this did not happen is extraordinary.

Now, while it is true that the final electoral count was O 303 R 206, the results in each of the battleground states was amazingly close and the popular vote was breathtakingly close. This suggests that there must be an as yet undefined voting block within the electorate that was not buying the unbelievably stupid drivel that was being delivered by Obama.

This tells us two things: 1) the popular meme of the “brilliance” of Obama and his campaign is bullshit. With their coalition of parasites and fools, they should have devastated Romney and the Republicans. They did not, they squeaked by. Arguably, without the storms and without Christie, even giving Ruddy his criticisms of the Romney campaign, Romney could well have won, it was that close. And 2), if the country and the world can manage to survive four more years of this angry buffoon and his angry, dishonest party, perhaps a recovery is still possible.

It also tells us this: that American Jews (and, it goes without saying, Israeli Jews) should now become VERY nervous. You may recall James Baker’s famous remark when he was Bush the Elder’s Secretary of State, “Fuck the Jews, they don’t vote for us anyway.” I can well imagine Obozo now saying, “Fuck the Jews, we don’t need their votes or their money anymore.” That is what the new demographics tell us.

Oh, let me also take the opportunity here to admit that the Affirmative Action President has not (as yet) started another war. I attribute this to his feeling confident in his internal polling data.

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